WHY LONG SHOTS ARE STILL JUMPING INĪ casual observer might ask why candidates with such low poll numbers are jumping into a race that already has a clear front-runner early on. Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, while former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson, who declared in April, has 0%. Christie has just 1% backing him, as does U.S. There is a yawning chasm between the front-runners and the rest of the field: Pence has just 5% backing, while former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has 4%, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll conducted in May. Trump dominates the field among potential Republican primary voters with 49% support with DeSantis next at 19%. Right now it's essentially a two-man race. He told CNN he wanted to be a more “candid, a little more unleashed voice” outside the confines of a presidential bid, as he seeks to try and move the party beyond Trump.
On Monday, New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, another moderate who had been considering a White House run, said he decided not to enter the race. "It's the definition of insanity continuing to do the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result." "The only one that benefits from that at this point in time appears to be Donald Trump," said Hogan, a moderate who wants the party to move on from Trump. "It's better for us to have a smaller field with a strong candidate or two rather than 10 or more people who are failing to get attention, who are all in single digits," in opinion polls, Hogan said in an interview. Hogan seriously considered taking on Trump but decided earlier this year against entering the race because he feared that a large field of contenders would only help the former president to repeat his 2016 victory, when he bested 17 major candidates. "I'm very concerned that we appear to be making the same mistakes that we made in 2016," said Larry Hogan, a popular former Republican governor of Maryland and a fierce critic of Trump. To be sure, many are long shots who barely register in opinion polls, but they can still hamper DeSantis' efforts to build the coalition he needs to take on Trump. If DeSantis has any hope of becoming the Republican nominee, political analysts said, he has to try to win over a significant chunk of the other roughly 70% of voters who are up for grabs.ĭeSantis must compete with a raft of Republican rivals for those votes. Political analysts estimate that Trump can count on a diehard core of supporters, who make up at least a third of Republican voters, to help him secure his party's nomination.ĭeSantis has been aggressively courting those voters, but few are expected to defect from Trump. That would allow the former president to clinch the nomination, just as he did in similar circumstances in 2016.įormer Vice President Mike Pence, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, and North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum are planning to enter the fray this week, bringing the number of challengers to front-runner Trump into the double digits. Republicans who fear Trump is too polarizing a figure to beat Democratic President Joe Biden in 2024 worry that if too many candidates jump into the party's contest, they will splinter the anti-Trump vote. June 5 (Reuters) - A growing number of contenders for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination could clear the way for a Donald Trump victory while throwing up roadblocks for his main rival Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, party members and strategists said.
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